From NextGov:

Last summer, it was considered a major upset when defense IT firm Leidos and electronic health records vendor Cerner were awarded the Pentagon’s $9 billion health care modernization contract.

Yet, in hindsight, Leidos and Cerner – which topped the favored duo of IBM and commercial market leader Epic Systems and a third team composed of Computer Sciences Corp., HP and Allscripts – should have been favored all along to snag the Defense Healthcare Management System Modernization contract, according to an analysis by business intelligence firm Govini.

In the analysis, Govini broke down the past performance within the Defense Health Agency of DHMSM’s competing vendors and found hallmarks that should have signified a clear-cut victory for the Leidos team.

Before the Pentagon announced the award, many contract-watchers thought the rival IBM/Epic team would win the deal.

“But when we looked at the data backwards and forensically analyzed it, it makes complete sense that the Leidos team won,” said Arun Sankaran, managing director of Govini, in an interview with Nextgov.

(Govini and Government Executive Media Group have a data-sharing partnership, and earlier this month released the 2016 Federal Scorecard, an annual ranking of government contractors based on more than 6,000 data points.)

Govini’s “big data approach” makes it easier to visualize contract spend data over time, Sankaran said. That deep-dive look revealed far from being an underdog, Leidos was actually “the clear leader” in health IT vendors within DHA, earning about $1 billion in business.

For example, DHA paid more money to…

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